South Africa meets Japan while design meets culture

“Ultimately, we believe that our uniqueness does not come from specific elements of African or Asian cultures, it just stems from us.”

Article by Jehan Latief for Design Indaba
When they were introduced to each other in Boston, both South African Mpho Muendane and Japanese Maki Nakata were frustrated by the untapped potential of the lesser-known varieties of African design.

With a background in graphic and textile design, Mpho was in between lecturing a university course and freelance textile design, while Maki was pursuing her Masters in international affairs and business.

It must have been alchemy that these two happened upon each other the way they had, because the duo has gone on to build a globally relevant brand.

Maki & Mpho is a textile design company that combines modern African art with traditional Japanese craft. Co-founder and creative director Mpho designs each of the textiles and products herself, but the brand seeks to share a message deeper than aesthetic appeal.

Maki says that they’re on a mission to promote African design, and that design is the vehicle with which they aim to communicate different cultural values.

“Ultimately, we believe that our uniqueness does not come from specific elements of African or Asian cultures, it just stems from us, Maki and Mpho whose individualities, identities, ideas, and backgrounds mix together in the global context and generate something new.”

It’s an interesting proposition given the complexities around what exactly African design is, who it belongs to, and where it is headed.

Maki and Mpho make it very clear that they’re not here to represent any African traditions or culture through their work. Rather, each textile design has a unique story weaved into it that celebrates African culture from the designer, Mpho’s perspective.

Mpho’s creative process is pretty robust. And quite an immersive experience as the designer.

Her tools are pen, paper, paint and pattern. That list wouldn’t be complete without the powerful African narrative that informs the design. While her mood boards address style, colour and narrative, the gist of her process involves simultaneously drawing, reading and writing “with my imagination and secret ingredients.”

The design process will only move forward, or backward, she says, once a strong design story has been established. From there on, patterns and colourways are digitally created for final design.

I wondered where the Japanese element in all this was. Though the textiles draw from Mpho’s interpretation of African design, most of the production is done in Hyogo, Japan. This region specialises in Banshu Ori, a cotton-based fabric.

For their recent collection, they worked with a textile manufacturer there, who has been operating for about 150 years over five generations.

The more you hear about their story, the more you get a sense of the stories woven through them, and the beauty of interconnectedness and collaboration.

While they’re currently based in Tokyo, there’s plans to launch a store in Amsterdam, and in one of the South African cities (the Cape Town vs Johannesburg battle continues).

They’re a young company, but the duo has already started giving back to young designers and creative sectors. In collaboration with South Africa’s Department of Arts and Culture, they’ve worked with selected local designers to assist them in developing and showcasing new collections, specifically in textile design.

Article Sourced from Design Indaba Website

The Retail Apocalypse Is Fueled by No-Name Clothes

By Bloomberg December, 2017

A few months ago, Amazon.com Inc. representatives met with fashion designer Jackie Wilson as part of the expansion of Amazon’s surging apparel business. They wanted her to make a knit top for women that would be sold under an Amazon-owned private label. And they wanted the fabric to feel heavy and high-quality—the sort of attributes long associated in the shopping mind with name-brand attire.

“They are not concerned at all about how many units they sell, and they’re not focused on margins,” says Wilson, whose company in Syracuse, N.Y., makes clothing for Kohl’s, American Eagle Outfitters, and J.C. Penney Co. “They’re concerned about customer satisfaction. They want five-star reviews.”

Wilson’s knit top is in the vanguard of a private-label push that’s upended the $275 billion U.S. apparel sector. Amazon, Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Target Corp., and other big retailers are beefing up their clothing lines to grab shoppers whose loyalty to established brands such as Gap and Nike has waned. Even supermarket chain Kroger Co. is getting in on the act, attracted by profit margins that far exceed what they earn on bananas and paper towels.

This year Amazon will leapfrog T.J. Maxx owner TJX Cos. and Macy’s Inc. to become the second-biggest seller of apparel and footwear in the U.S., Wells Fargo estimates. In some categories—like the active wear that Americans increasingly wear all day, whether or not they hit the gym—private labels combined account for 20 percent of the market, according to researcher NPD. That makes store brands in aggregate larger than any single brand, which should strike fear in the executive suites of Lululemon Athletica, Nike, and Under Armour.

“Active wear is going like wildfire,” Wilson says, for the simple reason that “you don’t have to try on spandex pants. If I was in those categories, I would be worried.”

Store-brand apparel is nothing new. The Sears, Roebuck & Co. catalog first offered clothing in 1894, and Wal-Mart’s Faded Glory house brand began life in 1972 as a department-store label. But for years, private-label apparel was dull and dowdy, no match for branded threads.

That started to change in 1990 when British supermarket chain Asda Stores asked fashion designer George Davies to create an exclusive clothing line. The result, George, was a hit in the U.K. and caught the attention of Canadian retailer Loblaws Cos. Ltd., which in 2004 hired Joe Mimran, co-founder of the Club Monaco chain, to do the same. His Joe Fresh expanded into standalone stores and a partnership with J.C. Penney in the U.S. But the brand didn’t click with Penney’s shoppers, prompting Mimram’s departure in 2015 and an overhaul of the business.

Despite its recent struggles, Joe Fresh “was a nice surprise to other retailers who said, ‘Hey, if they can do this, we can, too,’” says Adheer Bahulkar, a partner at consultants A.T. Kearney.

As retailers stepped up investments, connected with Asian suppliers, and poached fashionistas to head up in-house design teams, the established brands stumbled under the weight of declining mall traffic and heaps of unsold inventory. Brand loyalty began to crater.

Under Armour has been battered by slowing growth in athletic footwear, J.Crew Group has struggled to reinvent itself after the departure of longtime Chief Executive Officer Mickey Drexler, and Gap’s only bright spot lately is its off-price Old Navy chain. Even mighty Nike this year announced its first major layoffs since the financial crisis.

“Every new generation is becoming less and less brand-loyal,” Bahulkar says. “Millennials don’t care as much about logos. They will buy anything from anywhere at any price point, and that is a big change.”

The erosion of brand loyalty has been a boon for Target, the cheap-chic retailer that made its name in apparel via partnerships with top designers Isaac Mizrahi and Jason Wu more than a decade ago. It’s leveraged that success to create its own private labels in recent years, most notably Cat & Jack, a kids’ apparel line whose sales surpassed $2 billion after a little more than a year on the shelves. Target’s winning formula has emboldened Wal-Mart, which recently hired a veteran of Saks Fifth Avenue and Ralph Lauren Corp. to boost its fashion game.

Apparel shopping these days often begins with an online search, and research from consultants Bain & Co. finds that a surprising number of those queries don’t mention a brand at all—consumers just enter “yoga pants” and see what comes up.

Searching for generic product categories on Amazon turns up plenty of private-label options. More than one-quarter of first-page Amazon search results in categories such as men’s button-down shirts were private labels, Bain says. That helps explain why almost 40 cents of every dollar spent online on clothing and footwear in the U.S. will go to Amazon this year, according to data tracker Euromonitor, up from 23 cents in 2014.

Amazon is capitalizing on this in two ways. First, despite its private-label push, it’s simultaneously trying to create legitimacy as a destination for fashion by luring established brands that want to improve their digital sales, even if it means submitting to Amazon’s pricing algorithms. Heads turned when Nike began selling its shoes directly on the site over the summer. And Calvin Klein recently opened two pop-up shops in New York and Los Angeles whose fitting rooms are outfitted with an Echo, an Amazon device that lets users submit photos of outfits and recommends the best one. There’s also a dedicated Calvin Klein storefront on Amazon.com with exclusive items.

Not every fashion brand is as willing to hop into bed with Amazon, fearing a loss of cachet. But with mall-based department stores falling out of favor, analysts at Goldman Sachs say they expect the “vast majority” of labels to follow that path and deepen their relationship with Jeff Bezos.

Simultaneously, Amazon has introduced a bevy of private labels with names such as Peak Velocity in categories that include shirts and sportswear, where fit and function—plus the convenience of free shipping—are often more important than the latest fashions. One example is plus-size for women, where Amazon increased its market share about 50 percent over the past three years, Bain says.

Plus-size is “radically underserved,” Bain partner Tamar Dor-Ner says. “The thing that made it even more attractive for Amazon is it’s a shopper who traditionally doesn’t want to go into the store.”

Luckily for the big brands, three-fourths of apparel shoppers still prefer to feel or try on the product before buying, A.T. Kearney says. The likes of Lululemon can counterattack with so-called curated merchandising, industry jargon for showing shoppers that this top goes well with those pants. Despite experiments such as the Amazon Echo, the online giant is not there yet.

“I don’t know anyone who is jumping up and down about buying clothes on Amazon,” says Candace Corlett, president of WSL Strategic Retail. “They’ve put together a lot of midpriced, uninteresting stuff.”

But private labels don’t need to inspire. Like Jackie Wilson’s knit top, they just need to satisfy a need.

“We don’t expect private labels to become fashion houses, but they can create enough newness that they can capture sales,” A.T. Kearney’s Bahulkar says. “Competing with Amazon is a losing proposition.”

Article sourced from Bloomberg

Redwave Global collaborates with Under Armour

This article was supplied by Redwave to Fibre to Fashion
Redwave Global, a Pittsburgh-based science technology company, has entered into partnership with fitness conglomerate Under Armour to provide restorative apparel nationwide. The collaboration brings state-of-the art athlete recovery sleepwear to the market, available on the Under Armour website. Redwave has provided the technology for the sportswear design.

From lounge pants to comfortable Henley shirts, each piece restores players to their full potential in preparation for the next performance. Chairman of the board Dr. Shannon Vissman understands the importance of athletic drive, stating, “It’s not about the sport, but the ability to push the human body to the edge that turns a person into an athlete.” Redwave emphasises the essential healing process, helping players to practice self-care.

Chair of the Technology Committee of the board, Dr. Alan Letton, explains the forward-thinking and innovation behind this wearable technology. “By harnessing the physiological benefits of Far Infrared, we created therapeutic apparel able to improve health as it’s worn – making recovering from an all-out effort faster, easier, and more efficient,” states Letton. The first wave of wearable recovery products officially launched in January 2017 at the Consumer Electronics Show held in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Dr. Vaugh McCall, who specialises in psychiatry and health behaviour at the Medical College of Georgia, attests to the technology’s further ability to improve sleep. “How one sleeps at night affects focus, performance, and overall functioning during the following day. Using Redwave’s technology, this new line works to restore the body, assuring you’ll rest easy and wake up refreshed.” (SV)

Source : Fibre to Fashion

Trade expo brings textiles, apparel and footwear to Cape Town

Are you in the business of clothing, footwear, textiles and fashion accessories? Get ready to network and explore at the China Premium Tex – Apparel, Textile & Footwear (ATF) Trade Exhibition, taking place at the Cape Town International Convention Centre from November 21 to 23.

At the exhibition, buyers from chain stores, independent retailers, boutiques, importers, distributors, factory managers and other decision makers can meet 140 international manufacturers and suppliers from China, South Africa, Indonesia, India, Hong Kong, Bangladesh, Belarus and Estonia.

More than 100 manufacturers from China will display a range of products exclusively to Southern African buyers. These will include fashion garments and footwear, sportswear and sports footwear, safety boots, denim, home textiles, fashion fabrics, yarn, interlinings, trims and fasteners, fashion accessories such as bags and scarves, and much more.

Don’t miss this opportunity to snap up new lines, agencies, products and services!

The China Premium Tex opening ceremony will take place at 10am in Hall 4A on Tuesday, November 21, and anyone in the industry is welcome to attend.

Presentations and trend talk
To book your seat at any of the insightful business presentations or the trend talk, email atfexpo@worldonline.co.za. There is no cost to attend, but space is limited and seats are allocated on a first come, first served basis. Open to trade only.

Tuesday, November 21 – 12pm–12.45pm
Trend talk by Nicola Cooper of Nicola Cooper & Associates

Topic: Sociopolitical, technological and environmental trends shaping the mindset of the current and future African consumer

Cooper, a senior fashion, lifestyle and pop culture trend analyst, will focus on explaining trends from global-to-local, local-to-local and local-to-global perspectives. In this explorative, illuminating and insightful talk, learn about pioneering African trends and the effect these will have on lifestyle, fashion, advertising, retail and emerging consumer markets in 2017­–18.

Wednesday, November 22 – 9.30am–10.15am
Presentation by Dave Nemeth, owner of Trend Forward

Topic: The future of business and retail

The only certainty in business today is the death of business as we know it. This presentation, based on a year’s research, will look at the disruptions that businesses and specifically retailers are facing. It will cover areas such as macro trends affecting business and retail; current consumer attitudes, technology and the retail space; the future of retail; the changing face of corporate culture; and evolving company structures.

Thursday, November 23 – 9.30am–10.15am
Presentation by Brett Kaplan, independent retail consultant, Choppies Superstores

Topic: The changing apparel retail landscape in SA

Kaplan was the MD of clothing and general merchandise at Woolworths for 37 years. He was instrumental in building that business into the success that it is today. He will talk about the globalisation of retail, where both hemispheres are taking advantage of the “untapped African opportunity” with South Africa at the centre of this development. Retailers learn that a “cut and paste” approach does not always deliver results in South Africa, as consumers’ fashion appreciation is unlike that of other regions, including Australia, albeit a southern-hemisphere lifestyle. Kaplan will look at the challenges of and opportunities in apparel retail in South Africa.

Pre-register for FREE entry online today to visit the event and/or presentations, and receive a complimentary copy of the 2018 African Clothing & Textile Trade Sourcing Directory valued at R100 and a show catalogue on arrival at the show.

For more information, visit www.atfexpo.co.za, call Tel: +27 21 790 5849 or email atfexpo@worldonline.co.za.

Please note, this is a business exhibition and not open to the general public. Persons under the age of 18 will not be admitted.

Woolworths sales feel the squeeze

By Michelle Gumede for Business Live

Woolworths is battling a tough economic environment in both Australia and SA, putting pressure on sales.

After posting its trading update, which showed a 2.6% growth in overall sales, the group’s share price declined as much as 5% before recovering to close 2.41% lower at R53.75.

Woolworths has three operating subsidiaries — Country Road Group, Woolworths and David Jones, which was acquired in 2014 for R23.3bn.

Its David Jones sales declined by 5.3% in the 20 weeks ended November 12, the group said.

The company was struggling because of its “questionable business model”, Vele Asset Managers equity analyst Matthew Zunckel said.

Consumers globally were trending towards online and specialty retail, yet David Jones remained a department store, Zunckel said.

The management of Woolworths could tweak this over time with the introduction of food, but that would take a lot of time and investment, he said.

In Australia, the group opened eight new Politix locations within David Jones stores and said it was “seeing positive results from this initiative”.

However, Zunckel said it was a matter of concern that Woolworths continued to grow space quite aggressively despite significant volume pressure.

The company fared slightly better in the local market. On Wednesday, Statistics SA reported that retail sales were up 1.4% in the third quarter from the second, while retail trade sales had increased 5.4% in September from a year earlier, to R74.12bn.

The food division grew sales “ahead of the market” by 9.3%, double its internal inflation of 4.5%, the retailer said, with sales in fashion, beauty and home division slightly up by 0.7%. Zunckel warned that it could be losing market share in SA as the clothing performance was quite disappointing and the retailer did not seem to be benefiting from the recent uptick in apparel retail sales.
Author: Michelle Gumede

TFG looks to further grow sales on internet

By Nick Hedley for BusinessLive

CEO Doug Murray says the 6% contribution from online sales will ‘definitely’ grow

TFG expects to see a rising contribution from online sales — which now account for 6% of group-wide turnover — as it invests in its e-commerce operations, says CEO Doug Murray.

“The UK is just over 28% [online sales], Australia is a bit less because it’s only been included for two months, but their online sales are about 2.5% of what they do, and in SA, we’re edging up to 1%,” Murray said.

“Considering that America is around 8.5%, we’re going in the right direction and we’ve got a lot of focus on that in terms of investments in all territories.”

The 6% contribution from online sales would “definitely” grow, Murray said.

The clothing retail company reported that turnover in the six months to end-September rose 9.2%, or 12.6% on constant currency terms, to R12.5bn. Headline earnings grew 5.6% to R1.1bn, excluding costs related to the acquisition of Australian company Retail Apparel Group.

Credit turnover growth rose to 6.2%, which was “in line with expectations, as the negative impact of the affordability regulations is now in the base”.

TFG, Truworths and Mr Price took the Department of Trade and Industry and the national credit regulator to court in August over the affordability regulations. The retailers have argued that the rules, which require credit providers to validate customers’ income, are forcing them to deny credit for many shoppers.

TFG said the rules “have had and will continue to have a negative impact on the group’s credit turnover”.

“A lot of things that went on in that court case we see positives from, but we await the ruling,” Murray said.

The national credit regulator is also probing TFG for allegedly charging a club fee on its credit agreements. TFG believed that the regulator had an incorrect view on club fees, Murray said. “We’ve got several senior counsel opinions that make us very confident on that. We feel that we are totally compliant there.”

Giving the lie to fast fashion

By Zainab for IOL

Over the past few years, the retail climate has changed drastically from top-down fashion where luxury brands set the standard of what was trendy to a more democratised industry where these same brands’ designer threads are being ripped off by large high street chains and sold for a fraction of the cost.

And while I’m all for spending less on items that will be relegated to last-season status, I tend to err on the side of longevity. Quality over quantity, as they say. I rarely buy new clothes and, when I do, my purchases are either extremely pricey items I’ve saved up for over months or bargain finds made from quality fabrics I know are not just in season this month.

Then there are those times when I enter a mall and find myself panic-stricken by all the gloriously gorgeous attire on offer. Jeans for R150, screams one sign and I’m instantly drawn into a parallel universe where I desperately need five new pairs of jeans.

But I don’t need them, of course. I could easily walk into Levi’s and drop R800 on a decent pair I know will last several years, if not more. But the price tag draws me in and I end up with two new pairs of jeans that lose their shape and need to be thrown out after a few months.

Which is why lately I’ve become a strong advocate for initiatives such as H&M Conscious and Fashion Revolution. I love the fact that I can walk into any H&M store and recycle garments that would otherwise end up in a landfill somewhere. And while many would say that H&M’s entire business model relies on its rapid-fire production line, I still applaud its efforts at recycling and reusing old garments in its Conscious Collection. Indeed, it seems a fitting first step towards all its products eventually being produced this way.

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That being said, H&M isn’t the only brand doing its part for sustainable and ethical fashion.

One such local brand I was lucky enough to work with a few months ago is Bodhisattva. Deriving its name from the Sanskrit term for anyone who is motivated by compassion and wishes to increase enlightenment and consciousness for the benefit of others, the brand works with small local businesses, specifically those owned by women, in impoverished communities to produce quality garments made from fabrics such as silk, leather and cotton that stand the test of time and are interchangeable with other items in your wardrobe.

So, while you may be paying top dollar for a skirt or top, you’re also paying for an item that will see you through several seasons.

And isn’t that what we’re after, really? Items that will last, that can be repurposed, deconstructed and recycled season after season?

Even runways have started to blur the lines of seasonal fashion. Much of what we see now will still be trending on the streets of Jozi next year, albeit in a different colour or guise.

So how will you be making a sustainable change through your fashion choices?

retail demand planning and forecasting

How SA’s retailers can overcome stunted growth forecasts

Author: Rod Salmon : Source: Bizcommunity

 

Retail is a fast-paced, cut-throat industry; businesses that are not meeting their customers’ needs as and when they require, can quickly find themselves sidelined, while more responsive and innovative competitors fill the gap. In South Africa, which is currently a low growth market, the above challenges are being felt acutely by retailers.

 

With additional obstacles posed by negative consumer credit growth largely as a result of a decline in credit extended on store cards, there is a risk of South African retail stocks depreciating even further. Coupled with an increasingly competitive environment, caused by new international entrants and consumers with less disposable income (and therefore less spending power), there can be little doubt that the retail trading environment will continue to be tough for the foreseeable future.

What poses a particularly interesting conundrum for me right now is the number of retail managers that believe the cycle will turn, and that growth similar to the 2003-2013 period will be achieved. Based on our research though, what we are seeing is structural – as opposed to cyclical. Change is being driven by a demographic shift that has seen the expansion of a middle class not matched by savings or productivity increases. This mismatch means there has been a rise in the level of debt to disposable income from 52% to almost 90% in the space of only a few years.

This makes it unlikely that retailers will achieve the same levels of growth as the heydays of high credit growth. However, this is not to say that there are no opportunities for savvy and innovative retailers to find a niche in the market and benefit from it. Broadly, we have identified three key ways that industry players could potentially drive the growth they are seeking.

Increase market share

This is no doubt a difficult task in a climate where established retail giants such as Stuttafords have had to close their doors, and consumer companies that rely on growth and inflation to generate earnings growth will in our view find it increasingly difficult to survive in this market. But it is attainable. It will require creativity in looking beyond the traditional retail business model, and will even require looking into products and services already within their portfolio and how they can be re-imagined to add value and increase market share.

Become more operationally efficient and streamlined

Finding ways to improve operational efficiencies is by no means a new concept, and most businesses have already examined ways to streamline business processes from the supply chain right through to customer care. The rise and adoption of digital technologies in the last few years has, without doubt, assisted in improving cost efficiencies, but implementing the right technology has wider capabilities.

It can, for instance, contribute to more seamless demand planning and forecasting to help meet customers’ ever-evolving expectations, as well as improve productivity, reduce time-to-market of new products and drive revenue gains. This makes it critical for retailers to consistently evaluate how their current strategies and technology solutions are contributing to greater efficiency.

Expand – geographically or in product offering

Linked to the ability to increase market share is expansion – and the two main ways for retailers to expand are into new product markets and into new geographical markets. Of course, each comes with its own set of pros and cons; moving into new markets comes with regulatory and policy considerations, it typically provides an effective way of driving earnings growth by capturing new customer markets and opening up more opportunities.

Only those retailers that have clear and robust expansion and efficiency strategies will be able to achieve higher than average earnings growth. The important point to take away is that retailers who proactively look for gaps in the market and aim to create solutions to fill those spaces will most likely be the ones to achieve growth.

To Save Retail, Let It Die

The store of the future will become the most powerful media channel available to a brand, offering customer experiences that are the most profitable product a retailer can sell. But to get there, retail as we know it must die.

By Doug Stevens for Business Of Fashion

In 2011, in what has now become retail folklore, Ron Johnson, one of the brains behind the Apple Store, was hired to resuscitate the American department store chain JCPenney. At the time, I was asked to write an article for Advertising Age on whether Johnson would succeed or fail at this herculean task. My feeling at the time was that he would fail – not because he didn’t understand what needed to be done and certainly not because he lacked the creativity or knowledge to do it. He would fail, I believed, because customers, shareholders and ultimately the board of JCPenney wouldn’t have the stomach for what Johnson would ultimately have to do in order to revive the ailing retailer.

What Johnson understood was that in order for the new JCPenney to be born, the old JCPenney had to die. In order to pump oxygen into an entirely new era of department store retailing, he would have to once and for all turn off the respirator that was keeping this old brand barely alive.

And while we can quibble about Johnson’s approach to change management, (even he now admits he could have been gentler and more sensitive in his approach) the end result would have been the same. He failed because JCPenney felt more comfortable clinging to the corpse of their brand than working through a messy, uncertain and turbulent resurrection.

It’s six years later and a similar malaise poisons the broader retail industry. Everyone is talking about the need for disruption, innovation and change, yet most stop well short of actually doing anything about it. Many retail brands talk about game-changing innovation but what we see are lukewarm iterations of existing concepts and old ideas. Retailers, it seems, lack the will or sense of urgency to effect significant and radical change.

Adding to the numbness is a continuous chorus of bloggers and retail pundits saying the “retail apocalypse” is overblown. They acknowledge that 8,642 retail stores will close in 2017 in North America alone, but somehow always work their way back to telling us the sky isn’t falling and we need not be overly concerned. Well, I’m here to tell you that the time for concern has passed. We’re well into “shit-yourself” territory.

They say change happens slowly and then suddenly. Here’s a glimpse of what suddenly is going to look like. My hope in sharing this is simple; that it may spark new conversations in your organization and initiate the action your business so desperately needs to take. Here we go.

E-commerce will soon drive the majority of sales.
You don’t need to multiply a small number by a big number too many times before the result is a huge number. Online retail is currently compounding globally at a rate somewhere between 12 and 35 percent, depending on where you do business. In the US, for example, even if nothing else changes, e-commerce will comprise 25 percent of total retail within 6 short years. In the UK that figure may exceed 30 percent. Perhaps most staggering of all is that within 3 years, three companies — Amazon, Alibaba and eBay — will control 40 percent of planet earth’s e-commerce. And this is just a warm-up. Within 15 years, e-commerce will overtake conventional retail sales in developed nations, as a new wave of pervasive technologies take hold.

Products will replenish themselves.
The next profound revolution in e-commerce will come as our connected homes, cars, appliances, product packaging and even the products themselves begin connecting, communicating and transacting on our behalf. The three quarters empty bag of dog food in your home will suddenly have the capability to re-order itself. Using the third-to-last diaper in the carton will trigger the order of 40 new diapers delivered to your door. The light bulb that’s going to burn out will order its own replacement, taking into account shipping times from your online provider. Sensors in your running shoes will measure tread depth and trigger a reorder when necessary. These and hundreds of other items will manage their own replenishment. All will be done with minimal intervention from consumers.

Stop thinking ‘product’ and start thinking productions.

Amazon is already offering free in-home consultations for connected home technology because they know all too well that the company that connects the home owns the consumers that live in it. Whether we opt to subscribe to Amazon, Google, Walmart or some other provider, we will choose a meta-service to manage most of our routine, regular purchases. E-commerce will no longer be something we do but rather something that just is. Within 20 years the idea of pushing a buggy through the centre aisles of a grocery store and lugging toilet tissue home will seem laughable.

Amazon will become the Sears catalogue of the future
The days of pointing and clicking at pictures on a screen will come to an end within a decade. Amazon already knows this, hence its push to develop its Alexa Voice Services platform and Echo devices. But while seemingly invincible today, Amazon, likes Sears before it, will eventually be overtaken by new platforms that completely redefine what shopping is. Technologies like Magic Leap’s mixed reality (in which Alibaba is a major investor) will open a new chapter in experiential e-commerce. We will meet with designers in the virtual world who will style and fit us with clothes that we can see and feel. Fitting will be achieved with almost perfect accuracy as zettabytes of manufacturer data feed sophisticated fitting algorithms. We will “travel” to virtual places where we can contextually and viscerally trial the products we’re looking for. We will not buy from online “stores,” as we do today, but rather from within online experiences that are exciting, entertaining and fun. If you’re a retailer struggling to keep pace with Amazon, you’re going to have a hell of a time with the company that puts them out of business.

Physical retail will no longer be a channel for buying
With the vast majority of our daily and weekly needs simply coming to us as necessary, the role and purpose of retail space will no longer be principally to sell products. Rather, these spaces will act as living, breathing physical portals into brand and product experiences. They will become places we go to learn, be inspired, see and try new things, experiment and co-create. Beyond mere consumption, we’ll go to these spaces for entertainment, education, connection and community. This is not to suggest that there will be no products for sale in these physical spaces, only that the emphasis will not be sales but rather on catalysing a relationship with the consumer that transcends the store. The way these spaces are planned, built, staffed, managed and measured will look and act nothing like the retail operations of today. My advice to retailers is to stop thinking “stores” and start thinking stories. Stop thinking “product” and start thinking productions.

There will be a retail refugee crisis.
Nearly 4.6 million Americans work in retail, making it the country’s number one employer. Indeed, in many developed countries retail represents one of the most, if not the most populous of industries. Amazon has already proven that it can build a store without cashiers. And cashiers are just the beginning. Robotic customer service staff, fully automated warehouses, bot-staffed call centres, driverless delivery trucks and even the displacement of store management by artificial intelligence are all clear and present realities. Any human being that doesn’t generate added value, either through creativity, expertise or intuition will be expendable. We can debate the morality and ethics of this endlessly but the certainty remains that retail workers will become the blacksmiths of their era.

As a retailer you need to decide now which side of this line you’re going to stand on. If it’s with the robots, start investing in the technology now. If you choose people, prepare to pay for the very best in the market. There will be no alternative between the two.

The economic model for retail will implode
If you’re fortunate enough to sell something no one else on earth sells you might dodge this bullet. If not, you better find a new way of making money. This is because the wholesale-to-retail model is coming to an inglorious end. Firstly, brands are fleeing the confines of wholesale distribution in unprecedented numbers, largely because they can and secondly because it just makes business sense to do so. Technology has advanced to the point where the ability for brands to reach consumers directly is not only possible, it’s preferable. Through vertical integration brands cannot only better manage their margins but also their brand image and customer experience.

This will put retailers in a position where the brands they call “vendors” are also competitors for the same shopper. In essence, even if they win, they lose. By selling more products they only feed the enemy’s war chest. This sets up an untenable situation that private labelling can only partially remedy. Simply, the economic model for retail will require a complete reimagining.

Some smart retail start-ups are already doing precisely this. California-based electronics retailer b8ta treats retail as data and sells consumer engagement analytics back to the brands they represent, offering insights they wouldn’t otherwise get, and giving b8ta a unique and recurring revenue stream. New York’s Story sells experiences, working with brands to curate and produce beautifully executed, in-store events and they’re paid handsomely to do so. These are the sorts of pioneers that I feel will lead an entirely new class of experiential retailers over the next decade; retailers that use their physical stores not to sell products but to sell experiences that involve products. These new experiential merchants will be intensely creative masters of retail stagecraft, and experts at executing and measuring consumer experiences.

The physical store will become the most powerful and measurable media channel available to a brand, and the customer experiences that take place there will be the most profitable product a retailer can sell.

So, it’s true that retail may not be dead. But therein lies exactly the problem. Until we let go of the old era we can never fully move forward into a bright new age. If we really want to save retail, we’ve got to let it die.

Apparel Retail: its inevitable demise in Botswana

Author : Nomsa Makgabenyane  Source : Weekend Post

The death of retail is a hot topic on the minds of business and economic thought leaders. What does this mean for our local apparel Retail scene and business environment? 

Superstars of Retail, Mr Price Group, accounted a drop in headline earnings for the first time in 16 years. In the year to April 1 2017, Mr Price reported a fall of 10.4% in earnings per share. Before our eyes we saw the 159 year old Stuttafords dissolve despite its efforts.  It’s a tough time for the Retail sector.

Unless you have been living under a rock, it should be of no mystery to you, the way shopping is being done by the urban population in Botswana is changing.  For illustrations sake, several weeks ago, I witnessed a very interesting phenomena, I saw shopping happen, but outside the store. What I witnessed was a delivery being made to a client who had purchased a garment of clothing from a “facebook vendor”. More recently a friend of mine found her dream wedding dress on well-known Ali Express, there will be no need for consumers like her to search through a plethora of retailers.

Retail has been taking place outside the conventional store for some time, however with digital platforms like Facebook, simple Online shopping and Instagram, shopping for apparel has been transformed forever. It arouses great enthusiasm to see young individuals take advantage of this to better their lives, it is a welcomed disruption. On the other hand, does this signify a bleak future for apparel Retail stores as we know them? Yes and no.

Yes because, what we are seeing is a death of a traditional channel.  The “facebook store”, for lack of a better term,  in its nature is more convenient, from the browsing and comparing,  to paying and ultimately  receiving  your desires goods,  its fluid and less strenuous, time wise and on the pocket (although further analysis is necessary to prove the latter). These entities offer free delivery either in Gaborone or in the country, an upper hand in terms of value adding processes, even some of the most popular Botswana owned retailer slack in this aspect.  A consumer browsing through a facebook store during work hours needn’t plan for a trip to a physical brick and mortar store for something he or she likes. If say consumer lives in Serowe / Palapye, the vendor being in Gaborone is not a cause for concern.

Payments are done through varying mobile platforms. The seamlessness of the shopping experience goes a long way in building greater loyalty to these enterprises. With the rise of increased connectivity and consequently a rising number of facebook users in Botswana these shopping experiences  are going to be a noticeable challenge to  conventional apparel Retailers in our economy.

The death of retail will not occur that hastily in Botswana, qualifying the ‘no’ side of things.  Africa has a good 2082 shopping centers, and in Botswana there seems to be a one popping up often.  We can explain this by highlighting a few factors, one of which is the “eating out” experience, which is an irreplaceable and sustains “mall culture”.  Needless to say as long as there is a mall we will see an apparel retailer, but not in the volumes we have always known.

A study* in 2015 indexed Botswana as number two in retail potential, I  believe there is room to question this where apparel retail is concerned. If advanced economies are anything to go by, even peering into neighboring South Africa, apparel shopping at these locations, shopping for clothes at brick and mortar stores is not here to stay. Several stores are not only downsizing but some have totally exited the South African market.

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE TWO CHANNELS

In the digital age, consumers use online stores as a reference point and more often than not know what they are looking for when they visit a store, curbing down unplanned purchases, in this case the channel remains the same.  Yet an interesting counter notion is that physical stores serve as points of reference and comparison, but actual trade occurs with various online vendors, local or international, at a later stage.

Either way, consumer behavior has been altered, and in Botswana it is the social media stores which we can use to an extent when explaining these dynamics. What then for Botswana owned apparel retailers, how do they avoid having a white sheet of paper spread out on what would have been their store front? The death of retail is slow one, but that is no reason for comfort. It’s slow but also inevitable.

To survive, retailers in Botswana should make adequate advances towards R&D for appropriate Channel Strategies, suitable to our changing market. R &D firm Seriti Insights is undertaking the generation of these strategies, the outcomes of which should be interesting. Once again these disruptions are welcome in my view, disruption to things as we know them allows for great opportunities for development and growth of new ideas. Young people behind social media stores do deserve consideration and support. It will not be instant but the apparel retail environment needs surveillance, as does the overall death of Retail.

 

By Nomsa Makgabenyane  for Weekend Post